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Paper Chains

Many years ago, when I was freelance developer, I became interested in building a product. As I investigated what that would take, I discovered that the success of the product would hinge on my ability to market it. I was a great developer, but I had no marketing experience.

I emailed in this question to, “Startups For the Rest of Us”:

Do I have to learn marketing? Or can I just find an excellent marketer and partner with them to launch a product?

My rationale was that it’s more impactful to be a specialist than to try and master another field. Rob Walling and Mike Taber, both experienced software entrepreneurs, responded that I needed to learn marketing.

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Bumps in the Road

I’m finally settled into our house in Baja. It took five days of driving all told. It wasn’t a hard drive, but five days on the road is a long time and I have a reinvigorated respect for truckers.

While I was on the road, and when it wasn’t my turn to drive, I re-read Profit First. It’s one of my favorite books on small business operations. And a section of the book made me think of a trucker I recently met.

In December, I was on a flight home from Sacramento and I happened to sit next to a chatty Kathy who revealed that he was a truck driver. He told me that he delivered semi-trucks and would fly around the country, pick up a set of trucks, and deliver them somewhere else. You’ve probably seen a semi-truck towing two other trucks stacked on their hitches- that’s what he did.

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Changing the Scenery

Tomorrow, I hop in my car with my wife, my mother-in-law, and two dogs and start a four-day drive down to the tip of Baja, Mexico. Once there, we’ll spend February in a house overlooking the Sea of Cortez.

It will be my second month long working retreat down in Baja. The first trip was in 2022 and one of the activities that emerged from that retreat was this blog.

On that trip, I spent days staring out at the Pacific Ocean and pondering my strengths and how to develop them. I realized that writing develops my thinking and some of my best insights come from exploring ideas with the blinking cursor of a word processor. But to hone that strength, I had to have some sort of vehicle that would prompt me to write and so I began a daily writing practice that continues to this morning. Had I not taken the trip and changed my environment, I wouldn’t have started this blog.

We inhabit what seems like two worlds. Our internal and external experience. But they’re actually connected. Your internal world changes your external world. And your external world changes your internal world.

Changing the scenery is a useful way to turn over the soil in your internal world. To invigorate it with sunshine and air and plant the kernel of the next version of you.

When to Chase Shiny Objects

“I started a side business,” a friend told me over a glass of wine a few weeks ago. “And it’s sort of crazy: this thing is taking off like a rocket.”

I’ve talked with and been in entrepreneur communities long enough that I’ve seen lots of similar trajectories. Most new businesses fail and of the ones that survive, the majority have a long trajectory to thriving. But a few just burst out of the gate with the entrepreneur holding the reins as best they can.

When you don’t understand why some businesses are break out successes, you ascribe it to luck. But really it’s market demand coupled with a few good decisions (which can be luck or skill or both).

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The Investor’s Glasses

I sat with an entrepreneur friend on a bluff overlooking the Pacific ocean in San Diego a couple of years ago. I was making the multi-day drive back to Portland from Baja and had stopped in to visit him. I asked him an old question that he had answered before:

“Would you rather be an investor or an entrepreneur?”

“Investor,” he answered. It was the same answer he had given me previously.

It surprised me again because he’s someone who’s passionate about business. So I dug deeper, “You’d rather focus on stocks and property rather than developing a business?”

“No,” he said, “I mean that it’s more useful to look at business as investing. If you were putting money into someone else’s business, what would the decision look like? How would you manage the risk? What would you expect back?”

An investor’s viewpoint is from a higher, more objective perspective. It highlights the trade-offs and risks in your decisions and emphasizes the need to generate a return.

The next time you make a significant choice, try putting on an investor’s glasses. How does the choice look then?

Investing In Your Business With a Barbell

How do you invest in the growth of new business and new opportunities?

One approach to this challenge is with an antifragile perspective. Nassim Taleb pioneered the idea of “things that gain from disorder” in his eponymous book. To apply his philosophy on antifragile things, he proposed an investment strategy that he named a “Barbell Strategy.”

To apply a barbell strategy, you invest mostly in low risk investments, around 90%, and for the other 10% you invest in high risk, high upside options.

For your business, that might mean 90% of your attention, energy, and cash is on optimizing what is already proven within the business. Often, most of the “low hanging fruit” is inside your company.

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Aligning Incentives

The offer is the atom of business. When you disassemble the complex systems of enterprise into their most fundamental components, you end up with offers.

I’ll give you this in exchange for that.

Value propositions. Offers of employment. Strategic partnerships.

Offers aren’t perfect. They exist on a spectrum of acceptability from, “Hell yes!” to, “Uhhh… I guess so.”

Offers exist in an environment that is in flux. An amazing offer today might be an untenable one tomorrow.

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The 10x Ladder

Is it better to aim for incremental progress, to set goals based on where you are today, or is it better to aim for 10x growth?

Strategic Coach and others have popularized the idea of pursuing huge 10x goals, far beyond where you are today.

Thinking big is a powerful mindset to have as an entrepreneur, but it’s not enough. If thinking big was the critical component, there would be far more success in the market. Instead, 10x for most of us is a fantasy.

Incremental goals, on the other hand, are “realistic.” They’re grounded in the actual context of your situation and can be executed on. Progress can be made. However, the consequence of incremental thinking is that your growth becomes dictated by your circumstances.

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Performance or Mastery?

My sister doesn’t set New Year’s goals. Instead, she sets a theme for her year. The past couple of years, I’ve followed her example and this year I decided to set the theme, “Getting Better.”

Why getting better?

I recently ran a workshop where I presented on goal setting approaches derived from behavioral research by Heidi Grant Halvorson and Carol Dweck. They identified a dichotomy of mindsets when it came to pursuing goals. People tend to think about their goals in terms of “being good” or “getting better”.

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The Old and The New

One of my weaknesses as an entrepreneur is that I’m not very hip. When I was a freelancer, the smartphone revolution happened, but I didn’t invest in developing that skillset because I don’t like the way people behave with their phones. Social media grew into a huge market too, but similarly, I don’t like the way social media trains people to think.

I’m a minority, a Luddite in a stadium of people scrolling through Instagram.

Most people, most customers, are obsessed with the latest trend. And that’s where the heart of entrepreneurship is: in the new.

My attention is towards what’s not new and never was knew- the underlying principles and forces beneath the cycling trends. I think in terms of the Bible verse, “There is nothing new under the sun.”

It’s a real weakness for this line of work. But it’s also an opportunity, because you need both the energy of change and the understanding of what matters to capitalize on it.

Connecting the past to the future. The fundamentals to the nuances of a specific expression.