Author: johnhooley

Falling Into Things

The last couple of days I took a sailing course in the San Juan Islands (Intro to Cruising.) We sailed across Bellingham Bay in a 44′ sailboat and spent the night in a little cove on Lummi island. We were just four students and an instructor and so we all got to know each other. There was a couple on the boat that made their living as apartment landlords.

“How’d you get into that?” I asked them.

“Oh we just sort of fell into it,” the husband replied, “We were flipping houses and had a couple of close friends that were flipping them too. After doing that for awhile, we wondered what it would be like to fix up an apartment complex. So we bought a shabby apartment complex and did it. Our next piece of property was a lot nicer and it just went up from there.”

Right before I hopped onto the boat, we got our first lead under the new positioning for my agency. It’s not a homerun, but still a good fit for us. I didn’t put that much effort into getting that lead. It came from a day’s worth of research and cold outreach.

Four years ago, I tried to position our agency under a different brand name into the same market (member based associations.) It took us two years of effort on a wide variety of marketing tactics before we got our first lead.

I’ve wondered about the differences in the two efforts. The first time around it took two years, this time it took a couple of weeks. Why?

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The Whole & The Pieces

Entrepreneurs worship at the alter of imbalance. We proselytize the gospel of 80 / 20 and venerate our dear saint Pareto.

But is 80/20 ever the wrong tool?

I spent several hours last week working on a growth plan. My goal was to establish a list of things to focus on and anticipate decisions that would help grow the business. The parameter I put on the growth plan was that it wouldn’t be comprehensive, but a first iteration (V1 – shout out to last week’s https://knighterrant.co/version-done/ )

Or rather, a second iteration (V2), because I used a growth plan I developed several years ago from the program, “10,000 Small Businesses,” as the base.

After I worked on updating the plan a couple of days, I revisited my aim and smiled when I saw the parameter to avoid being comprehensive.

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Version Done

Yesterday, someone I connected with on LinkedIn said, “Hey, I love your blog. How do I subscribe?”

She wasn’t referring to this blog, but another one I write for association executives as part of our marketing. That blog doesn’t have a sign-up form. Not only that, but its formatting isn’t that great. It’s pretty basic and the visual elements need to be tightened up. If you look around the website, you’ll find similar examples where polish is missing or things aren’t laid out quite right.

This is because I work in iterations.

Our internal projects are always V- something. Version 1, 2, 3, etc.

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Migration Brewing

In Portland, we have a growing brewery chain called, “Migration Brewing.” I was fortunate to hear their story at a Rotary Club meeting yesterday from one of their founders, McKean Banzer-Lausberg.

They started a brewery in a smaller leased space in 2009. In the next eight years, they expanded to take over the building and started to distribute their beer to bars around the city via their pickup truck. This got the attention of a large distributor who struck a deal with them. The following year, they setup a mass production brewery and expanded from draft to cans. Now their beer is available around the pacific rim and in the Western US.

The big inflection point for their business was distribution and mass production. Distribution connected them to a much larger pond of customers that stretched far beyond Portland. Mass production enabled them to service that pond.

Could they have jumped ahead ten years and started with the beer factory and the distribution?

Probably not.

If you go into their flagship brewery on Glisan, you’ll see around twenty beers on tap. These are always rotating with new beers being introduced to the line-up. McKean explained, “People come to a brew-pub to try something new. It has to always be fresh. But it’s also our test pool for new beer and tells us what people like.”

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Expectations

Yesterday, I was asked to take over as chair of our Rotary Club membership committee. Like many community organizations, it was hit hard by Covid and is trying to rebuild. In considering what obstacles I might face if in that role, the major challenge is knowing what to work on.

Similar to a business trying to grow, there are many tactics the membership committee could do to rebuild membership. Coming up with ideas isn’t a problem. The challenge is in coming up with ideas that are viable. As Hamlet would say, “There’s the rub.”

In your business, when you innovate, or when you try to solve a problem that is new to you, you will generate unqualified options. They are unqualified because they don’t have any expectation of success. You don’t know if any are more or less likely to work than the others.

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Hard Choices

This weekend my wife celebrated her 43rd birthday with a birthday bike ride and a barbecue. One of the conversations I had during the party was with a friend who is working in a job she doesn’t like, but is sticking with it because the salary is good. Her plan is to pursue the things she really wants to do later in life after she’s earned a bunch of money (sort of a FIRE-esque approach.)

I told her that though money is important, there’s a huge risk in spending your life doing things you don’t enjoy. It’s a “this for that” trade where the cost is certain and high, and the desired payout is only one possible outcome.

Recently, I also spoke with a consultant, David C. Baker, about my goals with our agency. My aim has been to step out of the agency when all the systems are locked down and pass the reigns to a general manager or partner. Baker told me that, for whatever reason, that rarely worked. He said that the only two options for growth were to grow into a highly profitable agency I enjoyed running or to scale it to a size that I could sell. He estimated that scaling and selling was a five-year arc if everything went well (three years building and a one to two year earn-out.)

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The Price You Pay in Operations

I met up with some entrepreneur friends, Keith and Adam, to play a board game last weekend. Keith has been grinding to get a new SaaS product released that is an extension of his highly successful core SaaS product. After we finished gaming, we hung out in his kitchen and talked about the journey.

Keith said that he’s spending most of his time writing code, but to scale to his ideal exit point he needs to figure out enterprise sales.

Adam asked, “Why don’t you just hire a developer?”

“No one’s good enough to work on this problem,” he replied.

“What are the things in the business only you can do?” Adam asked.

“Product management, figuring out the strategic direction, what to build next,” Keith said.

I asked, “What’s the function in the business that is foundational to everything else? That must be accomplished and enables everything else?”

Keith thought for a moment and then said, “Sales.”

This is a challenge that many of us come to as owner operators.

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The First Question Into Uncertainty

One of the challenges of entrepreneurship is that much of what you do is new. You have to create new value, find new ways to reach customers, organize new resources into new systems.

You can reduce uncertainty by building on past experience or by learning from the experience of others.

But at some point the road ends and wilderness opens before you. This is the terrain of the innovator.

You have to build experience. It’s expensive, slow, and necessary.

How do you know if you’re going in the right direction?

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The Humble Queue

On Monday, I dropped my car off at the dealer to investigate a dummy light.They told me not to expect an update before Wednesday. As I rode my bike home, I thought, “They’re operating off of a queue.”

One of the common challenges in growing the operational side of a business is inconsistent demand. The need for your product or service doesn’t drip in a steady flow, rather it arrives in the spike of peaks and valleys.

This wreaks havoc internally because the effects are delayed and magnified.

If you’ve ever sat in stop and go traffic on the freeway, this effect is what you experienced. Some half wit changed lanes two miles up the road and cut someone off, causing them to slam on their brakes. Now the cars following them begin and reinforce the wave of speed up and stop, speed up and stop.

The solution is slack in the system in the form of a buffer.

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Multiple Opponents

What interested me in martial arts as a child was that skill gave you almost a super hero level of invulnerability. In the movies, the expert martial artist would fight groups of people and come out on top. As an adult training in the martial arts, the better and better I became, the more I realized that this was a fantasy. In a real fight, even someone exceptionally skilled has the odds heavily stacked against them as soon as another opponent appears.

To make a math comparison, a normal person’s threat in a live environment is a 1. An excellent martial artist might raise their threat to 1.5. Once another person comes in, the odds are now 2 : 1.5, add another opponent and they’re 2 : 1.

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